I've been a lifelong poll watcher, and have usually trusted them in the past, mostly because they've generally confirmed my own beliefs based on what I see and hear around me.
This year, for the first time, the polls feel very strange, and the difference between what the polls say, and what I see and hear around me are very different. I think many of the polls are being gamed somehow, and they don't reflect reality.
First of all, I see far less visible, enthusiastic support for HitlerPig, especially among the "normal" voters. You still see idiots with signs on their trucks, but they are obviously the crackpots. We aren't seeing anywhere close to the number of yard signs, MAGA hats, and other indications of a broad support for HitlerPig.
He lost the last election by a significant margin, and it was AFTER that loss that he launched his Insurrection, and stole hundreds of classified documents. Those actions probably didn't earn him any new followers, and it likely lost him many.
When HitlerPig was flying high, and doing terrible things as president, I'd ask conservative acquaintances if they still supported him, and they'd always say "There isn't anybody else." Any Democrat was off the table. HitlerPig was their only choice. Now they have RFK Jr, who looks like a viable alternative to many MAGAturds, and HitlerPig has never had a viable alternative before. RFK is already on the ballot in a number of battleground states, and intends to get on all 50, and his antivax, conspiracy theory, wierdo persona will draw off a lot more HitlerPig voters than Biden voters. 20% of Republicans are still voting in the primaries for an alternative candidate who isn't even running. He can't even draw 100% of the vote when he's the only game in town!
Biden has a problem in that he has lost a lot of the youth vote that helped him significantly in 2020. They are angry that there has been no real movement on Student Loan Reform, and they are very angry about our unwavering support of Israel's genocide in Gaza. I doubt they'll vote for HitlerPig, but it is likely they won't vote at all. Hopefully, that loss of support will be matched by Republican non-voters, and they'll cancel each other out.
I try to keep up on the Enthusiasm Gap, as that often telegraphs the election. In 2016, HitlerPig definitely won the Enthusiasm Gap over Hillary. It was about even in 2020, but it feels like Biden is slightly ahead this time. Biden followers tend to like him, and want to vote for him, while many HitlerPig voters seem to be searching for alternatives. He still has his supporters, but they are seeming increasingly mean and angry, which most people, even Republicans, find unrelatable.
And then there's the message. Biden is still talking about the good things he wants to do for America, while HitlerPig is on a years long tantrum about how unfair he's being treated. When he does talk about his vision for the future of America, it sounds scary, and a huge sell-out to corporate interests. He has nothing that would actually help the aberage American citizen. If more people knew about things like Project 2025 or Rick Scott's Rescue America Plan, many would question a Republican vote.
I'm hoping at least one debate manages to happen (they actually pulled off 2 in 2020), because Biden will probably have a big post-debate bounce, and that will go a long ways to taking even more wind out of HitlerPig's sails.
Much of that 7 million are media and enemies who just want to keep up with his threats. I follow him for that reason, and I'm no fan.
In my area, there is a very well-known law firm who run ads every election, telling people to call them if they see any nonsense at a polling place, and they will dispatch lawyers to deal with it. The underlying message is that if you fuck with the polls, you might find yourself selling your house to pay for a lawsuit you stupidly invited by listening to HitlerPig.
Of course they will. The difference is that they believe their own propaganda, and don't think anyone else has guns except them.
Not all. They are still looking for a lot of people. They just arrested a couple from my area a couple of weeks ago. A lot of those idiots aren't sleeping well, knowing the FBI is still on their trail. Between the ones already in jail, and the the ones who are laying low, waiting out the statute of limitations, his most motivated followers are mostly out of commission. If Ginni Thomas showed up with her busses again, i don't think she'd fill them like she did the last time.
Both sides learned that guns would have made a big difference in the result, so both sides will show up with guns rhe next time.
That's been the issue all along. A lot of these MAGAturds were political neophytes who know little to nothing about politics or history. It's always been more like sports or entertainment to them, or even religion, because they can relate to that. They don't really understand the long term consequences past simply winning. The consequences of sports don't extend beyond the final score, and politics is like that to them. All they care is that they won, not how terrible the world could become as a result.
If he goes to jail, she'll be in total charge of the marital estate. Guess who is secretly hoping for a long prison sentence?
Maybe he expects his MAGAturds in Congress to take up arms in his defense. Good luck with that. Traitors also tend to be cowardly and self-serving.
Hes so happy to find such perfect big stick. Look at his happy tail!
Edit: i created a haiku! Now i have a happy tail!
"Ding Dong The Witch is Dead" went to #1 on the British music charts.
Yeah, but it traps Netanyahoo in Israel, and he can't leave. If he sets foot in many countries he'll be arrested.
We knew that at the time. The LAPD had been racist shitheads for a long time, and this was seen as an opportunity to stick it to them for a change.
It is a fact that two separate trials can have two separate outcomes. I dont believe that a judge in one case is obligated to sentence a defendent based on the sentence that another judge ordered in a separate but related case. If a strict judge issues a harsh sentence, a lenient judge doesnt have to follow.
I love seeing such happy cows!
She reminds of my sweet Maggie. I miss her so bad.
Cuz nobody will pay a practicing newbie, unless it's to stop playing.
Republicans need to start seeing HitlerPig and his MAGAturds as the politcal equivalent of the Westboro Baptist Church. They are awful, everybody hates them, but they actually represent a very small group of people, who are so LOUD, that people get confused and mistake them for being powerful. Stop indulging and enabling them, treat them with the abject disrespect that they deserve, and they'll fade away.
A small art piece on each wall.
The guy is great looking, has a great job, and is married to a rich & beautiful movie star. Nothing in Colin's life is unfair.
Yep, definitely armadillos. Very distinctive holes.
Don't hold back, tell us how you feel.
"Dont bother me with facts, my mind is made up!"
What’s up with Jack White
JoeRogan