Hi fellow hosts,
I posted this article yesterday, but realized a few things from the comments.
- Most of y'all aren't reading the full article, and are going off title alone
- I'm not sure that fellow STR owners/operators fully understand why the NYC market should be watched closely, and the impact of this massive case study
- I didn't provide enough of a tl;dr on the article
As a result I'm re-posting the article, with a longer set of summaries for those of us that are paywalled, or don't have the time to read the full article.
HBR Article on impact of STR-ban on New York City housing market
"What does the article say if I don't have time to read the full thing?"
- Here's a ChatGPT summary:
- According to a February 2024 Harvard Business Review article, short-term rentals are not the biggest contributor to high rents in New York City. The article states that a 1% increase in Airbnb listings in any zip code causes a small increase in rental rates and housing prices. It also implies that Airbnb contributed to about 1% of aggregate rent growth in 2021.
- New York City's Local Law 18, also known as the Short-Term Rental Registration Law, requires short-term rental hosts to register their properties with the Mayor's Office of Special Enforcement. The law also prohibits booking platforms from processing transactions for unregistered short-term rentals. Examples of such platforms include Airbnb and Vrbo.
"I don't operate in NYC -- why should I care?"
What's happening in NYC is the single largest case study of STR bans and their effectiveness on increasing housing supply, reducing home prices, the impact on hotel / STR rates, etc. While *your* market in idaho, lake tahoe, smokey mountains, flagstaff etc. might not have a full ban in place, I can guarantee that every housing commissioner in the country is watching the NYC market to determine *IF* a ban makes sense for their market. It means weighing the pros / cons of STRs in their market and using the data provided by NYC as a case study to understand this highly nuanced and politicized topic.
"Who wrote this? Can I trust this study and reference the data points in my own conversations?"
\*I'll caveat this by saying we should all challenge what we read online and do our own due diligence. That said, I've spent 15 years in the tech industry working for startups, Google, etc. I'm also a STR owner/operator. I've read dozens of well researched HBR articles, and I trust what HBR publishes.***
This article is no exception. There are gripes I have about the article. Mainly that it has a lower reading level than some other HRB article written, and the data presented isn't as impactful as I would've liked. That said, the background of the authors are very esteemed and are experts in their field:
- Andrey Fradkin is an assistant professor at Boston University who specializes in the economics of digital platforms and search and matching markets.
- Chiara Farronato is the Glenn and Mary Jane Creamer Associate Professor of Business Administration at Harvard Business School and co-principal investigator at the Platform Lab at Harvard’s Digital Design Institute (D^3). She is also a fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and the Center for Economic Policy Research (CEPR).
- Sophie Calder-Wang is an assistant professor at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School.
"The article mentions seasonality, it's a city, I don't have a flat, etc, etc. etc.. That doesn't apply to me!"
Frankly, this doesn't matter. The purpose and point of this article is analyze the effectiveness of NYC's STR ban, using an objective of an approach as possible with multiple authors, and solid data collection, cleaning, and analysis. With a qualified study, other housing authorities in the likes of other cities and jurisdictions around the country are looking to NYC and asking if a ban-approach is right for them. As a result, being educated and informed about what's happening in NYC allows you to speak intelligently to your own housing authorities, planning commissions, city councils if a ban approach is being discussed.
"Is this good or bad for me as a STR Operator?"
This is a highly nuanced situation. Cities all over the country are trying to figure out the best approach for there market, and ultimately there are pros and cons to every policy decision. Especially one that touches many constituencies (Guests, Hosts, Hoteliers, City Planning Commissions, etc). There isn't ever going to be a single silver bullet approach to STR policy. That all said, I think this article does a decent job of providing quantitative data points to suggest that banning STRs outright is not an effective way to solve the housing crisis, bring home prices down, etc. There are more "cons" than "pros" when taking this approach, and ultimately it's just the hotel operators who win in this situation.
Instead, a more calculated and nuanced approach via permits, or capping the number of rentals per market may make more sense that allows the benefits of STRs operating in market to flow through to the consumer, while also not allowing entire neighborhoods to be overrun by Airbnbs.
"What's the point in writing all of this up?"
There's no doubt about it. Airbnb and STR operators have a shit reputation right now. People across the country feel as if "Greedy STR Owners" are taking up the entire housing supply and causing the rise in home prices. This article provides data to suggest that statement is simply not true.
I'm a STR operator (I own 2 airbnbs), an airbnb customer (I've stayed in over 100+ airbnbs), and I'm also someone that exists in this world of real estate and home prices. I feel it's my job, and every other STR operator's job, to be informed on the data surrounding this issue and use this knowledge to change the perception by the American Public above. By mainly...
- being "pro-airbnb-regulation" in your market with one of the two methods listed above (not banning)
- providing an amazing, quality experience to guests (IE - don't be *that* host that gives all of us a bad name. Take pride in your listing
- educating yourself on STR-policy
- understanding that this is not going to be an issue that's resolved overnight. It will take decades to determine the best approach to regulation in your market, and may always be a work in progress
This is what I ended up doing. And going to save $60/month.
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