![Ohio House Special Election 2024 Live Results](https://external-preview.redd.it/cXUhM0cqsqFMu0VibuTowPuf7UgUWVC4gXM0n3j2ikQ.jpg?auto=webp&s=6968ee4e6d9a23f86dc70c12e121ef4f6070cad0)
www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-special-elections/ohio-house-results
These counties are rural, but even considering that, voter turnout out was embarrassing today.
We’ve got to do better.
www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-special-elections/ohio-house-results
These counties are rural, but even considering that, voter turnout out was embarrassing today.
We’ve got to do better.
What did you think of him, given that he overperformed dramatically? (He lost by 10 points in a district that went 2/1 Republican two years ago.)
Back then he worked as a scientist for AFRL and did some acting work on the side. Mike is a compassionate man, and smart. Good to see he did so will
There’s only like 2 people during my service I’d see their name and be like they going to do a good job. Only one of them was actually in leadership, the other was a fuck up but that was mostly a show whenever he would take shit seriously he was one of the best people I met. It really disappointed me when he got himself kicked out. But he was one of those people if you didn’t give him some space to perform he was self destructive.
How can we get more people out? I don't think 5 percent of mahoning County voted. I didn't hear much about this election. Tough to win this district way its shaped but really low turn out
I don’t know what to make of it because of the low turnout, but this was much closer than it should have been. Johnson won each of the last 4 terms with 70% of the vote, give or take a few percentage points either way, and this is going to be around 55%-45% or so.
Mahoning county has to show up woth this district
A naive optimist could project this result to November and say, "we had a 26-point swing, Ohio is fed up with MAGA..."
If I was running a Dem campaign, I'd notch this as a moral victory and brag about it all over the state
Of course, the low turnout clearly makes projection a bad idea, but that doesn't mean you can't message off of it.
Is it naive to view Dem overperformance in this special in context with Dem overperformance nationwide? A 20-point swing in a deep red, gerrymandered district is pretty wild, I get it, but this also isn’t the first time it’s happened, Dems have been overperforming pretty consistently since the Dobbs decision.
Just be sure you understand how limited a sample this pool is. This is like 10% voter turnout.
I’m aware. Low turnout has also favored Republicans until relatively recently.
But this isn't typical "low turnout". A typical, boring, midterm "low turnout" election sees 40-50% in this state.
This was a little-advertised special election that had just one race on the ballot—a race that goes to a rematch in November no matter what the result was. 7.4% turnout across District 6... You could put everyone who voted yesterday in Ohio Stadium and still have over 40k empty seats.
I think in light of that it’s worth asking why 1) it wasn’t advertised, and 2) why it still wasn’t a double-digit blowout, given Rulli’s money and name recognition. Rulli failed to decisively win Mahoning, a county he represented in the state Senate and where his family business was founded, iirc. Is that all due to low turnout, and if so, how did Dems become high-propensity voters in an election that was basically a guaranteed loss?
Excellent points. The low turn out talking point I'm seeing to explain this away doesn't why Democrats showed up in unexpected numbers and Republicans didn't.
Yup, and if this were the first time it’s happened, I’d be inclined to write it off as a fluke, but it’s not.
And that’s not me being naively optimistic, I worked either in or directly adjacent to politics for several years, I am as cynical as they come. And I’m saying this pattern is new. We should want to know why.
I didn't know about this election until it was too late to get an absentee ballot, and I am across the country on vacation. I didn't have a chance before leaving to make it to the board of elections.
Yeah they did not do much advertising at all for this election and tbh I am not surprised. Why did they suddenly have to fill his seat since it sat vacant since Jan.? They could have waited until Nov. and put it up with the Pres. election when people will be out and voting for sure.
Because, like the August 60% referendum election, this is done when students are out of school for the summer or graduating.
State Dems need to do better. If their voters don't know about an election, they won't vote
Those electoral district boundaries…
Gerry Mander wins again...sigh
When I went to vote this evening, a poll worker thanked me for coming and said they had a low turnout. Not surprised by that or the results but definitely disappointed.
God damnit. I hoped since he shot at those kids a while back maybe he wouldn't be able to get the votes.
He what ? I didn't hear about that at all.
"...and to be honest, the people that were doing the accusations were really at fault." Wow.
"Stoltzfus adds he hopes voters will be looking into the records of all of the candidates before deciding which to choose next month." WOW.
And Stoltzfus is the bigger jackass of the two…
I’m actually surprised it was that high.
I had hope.
We get a redo in November.
Need more than a redo. I saw somewhere like 5% voted.
I feel like an idiot. Did I just miss a voting opportunity? Did I literally miss this because I don't have Instagram and didn't get the notice? How did this happen and where do I sign up for notifications?
I somehow got on a list with my local Democratic Party and they sent a reminder/notification card in the mail. If not for that, I’d have never known.
You have to go well out of your way to be informed, otherwise these special elections get overlooked. And it’s intentional—the governor sets these up knowing turnout will be terrible (remember last August?) when they could have waited for November.
Doesn’t it have to be contested within x amount of days of the vacancy? Obviously they’d try some backhanded shit wherever possible but I don’t know that this is the case this time
Here are the full rules for filling a state Senate vacancy. It is odd that it sat vacant for months. Now Rulli is only in there for the remainder of Johnson's term, and then we get to vote on it again in November.
I get some of the timing… they had to have a primary first because multiple people wanted to fill the seat, which they did the normal primary day. But, that created confusion because people were voting, essentially, for the same thing twice at the same time (who in their party should fill it the remainder of this year, then who should fill it the 2 years after that). Then there’s the time to certify the primary, some campaign time, and here we are in June
Nice, great results!
We won't do better. The fascists won years ago, and unless there's literally a violent uprising, there is nothing we can do to stop them.
Ohio is overall deep red now. This state is gone.
Yesterday’s results weren’t deep red. More knowledge the election was being held would have gone a long way.
Maybe. But showing up here can force the GOP to spend money and volunteers in Ohio, which reduces resources in the swing states.
Don't get discouraged.
People said that about Kansas 25 years ago, and Arizona a decade ago.
Rural counties save us again
Holy shit I know the Democrat that ran, I served with him in the USAF.